Selling Greece

Photo by Eastlaketimes As has been the case for every Monday over the last X weeks, Greece is the financial headliner.  It was dragged kicking and screaming back to the negotiating table this weekend.  Little negotiation was had.  A deal was made… but not really.  Basically, Europe scolded Greece and everyone decided to give Greece a little more time (72 hours) to get their act together before negotiations begin in earnest.  This sounds like another silly kick of the can down the road, but this time Europe might really take action beyond a strongly worded letter.  They have attained concessions from Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras (dubbed the ‘AGreekment’ *groan*) that go beyond the previous negotiating round’s demands.  This sounds odd since Tsipras fought these demand tooth and nail just a couple of weeks ago, the Greek people voted against these demands last week, and it seems like part of the demands…

Leaving the Gyro

It is important to note that in this post I am pronouncing the word gyro as “yee-ro”.  This is critical because no one is allowed to pen commentary on the Greek situation (I almost typed ‘tragedy’) without at least a little halfhearted wordplay. The odds of a Grexit keep going up, but before Greece can leave the Euro, Europe must allow Greece to default by not extending a last-minute unearned bailout.  In other words, Europe must leave the Gyro.  It looks like Greece has run out of road to kick the can down and we’ll finally get to see the next act of this tragedy (I can’t help myself) soon. What does this mean for investors?  We’re seeing red numbers all over financial television in between ‘man on the street’ spots of reporters interviewing Greeks standing in line at banks or ATMs.  People are speaking in urgent tones on TV, this…

Wooden Nickels

When I was younger, my parents would tell me not to take any wooden nickels.  I always wondered what that meant.  Are there actual people out there trying to pass off wooden currency?  Would I really be tempted to accept this fake money?  What kind of monster is prowling the streets looking to swindle ten-year-olds out of five cents?

Technology Buried Peak Oil

Just before the financial crisis, peak oil was a hot topic.  The theory was that demand for oil had permanently outstripped supply and that the commodity would only increase in value going forward as supplies dwindled.  Talking heads raced to plant the highest price target as it shot up to over $130/bbl.  There was a steep drop, then stabilization around $90/bbl.  As is par for the course, those who get paid to predict things they cannot possibly predict based a long term outlook on the extreme short term history – $90 oil forever. The shale revolution initiated a massive paradigm shift as OPEC handed the world’s production reigns to the US.  The price of oil went down as demand was still diminished from the financial crisis and due to the removal of some degree of political risk in the oil supply away from the Middle East.  All of a sudden, though, wells where…

Grexit, Graccident, Groverload

The silver lining in the European financial crisis is how the names of the various countries involved lend themselves so well to plays on words.  Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain were collectively PIIGS.  Greece has had the highest profile of all the PIIGS, but I’m not sure if that’s because they are truly in deeper trouble than the others or if it’s more due to marketing.  A possible Greek break from the Eurozone has been dubbed the Grexit.  That’s catchier than Spanic (Spanish Panic) or Quitaly.  Mohamed El-Erian is worried about a Greek economic accident – a Graccident.  I guess the only way to stand out from the other eight talking heads that are all brainstorming doomsday scenarios on live TV is to create a strong apocalyptic brand.  Although maybe things will get better – a Grecovery?     Photo by Denis Bocquet