Uncategorized Has the Dow Left You Dazed and Confused? Posted on February 5, 2018 By Matthew Garrott Let’s set aside the fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is a flawed measure of the overall stock market. The media, your parents, and their parents have all accepted the Dow as the standard. Besides, over time the Dow does move in line with the overall market. So instead… Read more
2018 Outlook Posted on January 23, 2018 By Matthew Garrott I’ve been meaning to post an outlook for 2018, but I kept putting it off. Between the holidays, a sick kid, and my belief that calendar year outlooks are dumb, procrastination has been beating my will to write. No more! Here are my predictions for 2018: If you have been… Read more
Uncategorized Doing Good While (Hopefully) Doing Well Posted on January 17, 2018January 16, 2018 By Matthew Garrott Each year, BlackRock’s Chairman and CEO, Larry Fink, writes a letter to CEOs of “leading companies” in which BlackRock’s clients are shareholders. Last year’s letter encouraged long-term thinking in the context of a world that is increasingly focused on short-term volatility. This year’s letter strikes a similar tone, but goes… Read more
Uncategorized ‘Bron, ‘Bama, and the January Effect Posted on January 9, 2018 By Matthew Garrott The NBA may as well cancel the rest of the season. Why? Alabama won the college football championship, of course! This means LeBron James is sure to win a title of his own: This reminds me of the January effect in the markets. The thinking is that if January… Read more
Uncategorized Are You More Likely to Cheat with Bitcoin? Posted on December 8, 2017 By Matthew Garrott I recently spoke with a client who wanted to know what could go wrong with bitcoin. We talked about bitcoin and the monetary system (not a risk now, but who knows in the future) as well as black market applications (greenbacks work just as well or better here). The question… Read more
Uncategorized Bears, Beats, Bitcoin Posted on December 6, 2017December 6, 2017 By Matthew Garrott In honor of my favorite vignette from The Office… Question: What kind of bear is best? ‘Tis the season for market predictions (and forgetting last year’s predictions). The optimists predict low single digit returns for equities. The bears predict bear things. Which means no one expects even decent stock market… Read more
My Favorite Posts This Week Posted on November 17, 2017November 16, 2017 By Matthew Garrott I try to share good posts via Twitter. A bunch of people were writing solid stuff this week: A Little Knowledge is Dangerous – Nick Maggiulli – Surprising stat about survival rates for people lost in the wild. Kids six and under have a surprisingly high survival rate while… Read more
Uncategorized Moar Bitcoin! Posted on November 16, 2017 By Matthew Garrott After my last post about Bitcoin, I got a lot of, “So… Bitcoin?” No one has a concrete opinion on this thing except the evangelists, but everyone wants to discuss it. Skeptics seem more concerned about staying in their lane than dragging down crypto – they don’t understand it, they… Read more
Uncategorized I Changed My Mind On Bitcoin Posted on November 8, 2017 By Matthew Garrott I changed my mind on Bitcoin a few weeks ago. A bunch of smart people had made public comments on it, generating buzz. I was going to write up a short summary for our investment team with pros and cons, ultimately concluding that Bitcoin was garbage. But then I did… Read more
Uncategorized Update on Everyone’s Favorite $37 Billion Hedge Fund Posted on October 10, 2017 By Matthew Garrott It’s Harvard. The $37 billion hedge fund is Harvard. More specifically, I’m referencing Harvard’s endowment. When Harvard announced yet another management change last year, I was skeptical. It seemed to me that Jane Mendillo inherited a mess created by an intellectual mercenary (who left his next employer under undesirable circumstances… Read more