3rd Quarter Commentary
This year’s market movements are not unexpected nor are they out of the ordinary. The S&P 500’s average return is about 10% with an average drawdown of 14% sometime during the year. Many pundits called for a correction (stock market drop of 10% or more) this year and were lauded for this supposedly bold stance. History tells us to expect a drawdown of 14% each year and this year we got one of 12%. Again, this is not unexpected. We should only be surprised if there isn’t a sizable drawdown during the year. I admit, it would be highly entertaining if we had a panic button we could hit here in the office that set off klaxons and red strobe lights in the event of market emergencies. Unfortunately, that button would be largely unused. Negative returns are part of a normal market and we are a long way from hitting…