Federal Reserve – Data Driven?
Janet Yellen pulled the markets offside with a hard count yesterday. Instead of a hike, we heard about global weakness that suddenly warrants the Fed’s attention. The market reacted as though there was a hike – you could say we’ve been in the red zone the last two days (I can’t help myself). Most concerning is that the Fed continues to move the goalposts (last one, I swear). Janet Yellen has insisted that under her guidance, the Federal Reserve will be data driven, but so far this hasn’t played out. The first bogey was unemployment. When unemployment recovered quicker than expected, they kept lowering the target, delaying a possible rate hike. These delays were understandable as there was certainly room for improvement in the economy. Now, however, the US economy is looking quite robust. Unemployment has vastly improved and GDP looks good. Inflation is low, but some top-of-mind costs (school tuition,…